Ethereum
ETH What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 286 days
1 Jan 2027
32% YES ↑ 1% 24h change ↓ 3% 7d change Live
YES NO 68%
Share:
24h Volume
$228
Liquidity
$30K
Score
97/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
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YES % Current ETH price
Price vs Target
$2,140
ETH current →
→ target: $1,000,000,000,000
Still 46738268822.5% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 44/100
Total vol. $259.0K
24h Volume $228
Liquidity $30K
Spread 2%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 2.3%
7d change ↑ 1.3%
Market Cap $258.2B
vs ATH -56.8% vs Aug 25
Historical Context
Move needed +46738268822.5% in 286 days
Market probability 32%
Historical base rate 0%
Market is 32 pts more optimistic than history
0 of 444 286-day periods for ETH achieved this move · annual vol: 59.5%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 98% Sell 2%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 6
Largest trade $45
Avg. trade size $12

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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