Will Ethereum be the top performing crypto for the week of March 16?
About this market
This market will resolve to the listed crypto asset with the highest percentage change during the week of March 9, 2026. The “Change” value shown for each asset’s weekly candle for the week of March 16, 2026 will be used. A weekly candle is considered finalized once the following week’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the spot USDT trading pairs for each listed asset (e.g. BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT), for example: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more assets are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve based on whichever comes first alphabetically. Only Binance spot USDT-pair data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. Weekly candles are defined based on Binance’s chart timezone. For reference, in the ET timezone, the weekly candle for the week of March 16, 2026 is titled “2026/03/15 19:00” on Binance.
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Understanding This Market
The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.
The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.
The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.
Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap
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