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Other Consensys IPO by ___ ?

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

Closes in 286 days
1 Jan 2027
41.5% YES ↓ 11% 24h change ↓ 3% 1h ↓ 3% 7d change Live
YES NO 58.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$2K
Score
99/100
Historical probability
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YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 37/100
Total vol. $135.5K
24h Volume $3K
Liquidity $2K
Spread 5%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 41% Sell 59%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 26
Largest trade $60
Avg. trade size $16

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

21 comments

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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