Binance Coin
BNB What price will BNB hit in March?

Will BNB dip to $500 in March?

Closes in 11 days
1 Apr 2026
4.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 95.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$27
Liquidity
$620
Score
83/100
Historical probability + Current BNB price
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YES % Current BNB price
Price vs Target
$643.1008
BNB current →
→ target: $500
Exceeded by 22.3%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 43/100
Total vol. $934
24h Volume $27
Liquidity $620
Spread 1%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.4%
7d change ↓ 3.6%
Market Cap $87.7B
vs ATH -53.1% vs Oct 25
Historical Context
Move needed -22.3% in 11 days
Market probability 4.5%
Historical base rate 0.8%
Market is broadly aligned with history
6 of 719 11-day periods for BNB achieved this move · annual vol: 43.9%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $26
Avg. trade size $26

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BNB/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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