Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitmine officially announces that the company’s total Ethereum holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings. For reference, Bitmine's reported ETH holdings can be tracked at: https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings
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Understanding This Market
The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.
The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.
The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.
Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap
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