Bitcoin
BTC What price will Bitcoin hit on March 19?

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on March 19?

Closed
20 Mar 2026
0.1% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 99.9%
Share:
24h Volume
$11K
Liquidity
$36K
Score
80/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
Loading chart...
YES % Current BTC price
Price vs Target
$70,778
BTC current →
→ target: $79,000
Still 11.6% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 45/100
Total vol. $10.7K
24h Volume $11K
Liquidity $36K
Spread 0.1%
Book depth
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.5%
7d change ↓ 0.8%
Market Cap $1.42T
vs ATH -43.9% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 23
Largest trade $1.2K
Avg. trade size $109

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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