Bitcoin
BTC What price will Bitcoin hit on April 10?

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 10?

Closed
11 Apr 2026
22% YES ↑ 0% 24h change ↑ 0.5% 1h Live
YES NO 78%
Share:
24h Volume
$31K
Liquidity
$13K
Score
93/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
Loading chart...
YES % Current BTC price
Price vs Target
$73,161
BTC current →
→ target: $74,000
Still 1.1% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 40/100
Total vol. $30.9K
24h Volume $31K
Liquidity $13K
Spread 4%
Book depth
Open interest $208.5K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 1.6%
7d change ↑ 9.5%
Market Cap $1.46T
vs ATH -42% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 75% Sell 25%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 360
Largest trade $2.8K
Avg. trade size $38

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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