BTC
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bitcoin Korea Premium Index reaches 8 or higher at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be CryptoQuant, specifically the Korea Premium Index chart available at: https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/market-data/korea-premium-index Daily values shown on the chart will be used. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the primary resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on a consensus of other credible crypto data sources tracking the Korea (Kimchi) premium.
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Understanding This Market
The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.
The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.
The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.
Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap
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