Bitcoin
BTC When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?

Closed
1 Oct 2025
0% YES ↑ 0% 24h change ↓ 0.2% 7d change Live
YES NO 100%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
Score
0/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
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YES % Current BTC price
Price vs Target
$70,733
BTC current →
→ target: $150,000
Still 112.1% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 25/100
Total vol. $778.9K
24h Volume
Liquidity
Spread 0.1%
Book depth
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.6%
7d change ↓ 0.9%
Market Cap $1.41T
vs ATH -43.9% vs Oct 25

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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