Bitcoin
BTC What price will Bitcoin hit on March 20?

Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 20?

Closed
21 Mar 2026
35% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 65%
Share:
24h Volume
$10K
Liquidity
$9K
Score
98/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
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YES % Current BTC price
Price vs Target
$70,687
BTC current →
→ target: $69,000
Exceeded by 2.4%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 40/100
Total vol. $10.2K
24h Volume $10K
Liquidity $9K
Spread 4%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0.7%
7d change ↓ 2.4%
Market Cap $1.41T
vs ATH -44% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 99% Sell 1%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 108
Largest trade $1.2K
Avg. trade size $38

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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