Bitcoin
BTC What price will Bitcoin hit March 16-22?

Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?

Closes in 2 days
23 Mar 2026
34% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 66%
Share:
24h Volume
$64K
Liquidity
$19K
Score
98/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
Loading chart...
YES % Current BTC price
Price vs Target
$70,778
BTC current →
→ target: $68,000,000,000
Still 96075326.7% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 49/100
Total vol. $143.2K
24h Volume $64K
Liquidity $19K
Spread 2%
Book depth $7.2K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.5%
7d change ↓ 0.8%
Market Cap $1.42T
vs ATH -43.9% vs Oct 25
Historical Context
Move needed +96075326.7% in 2 days
Market probability 34%
Historical base rate 0%
Market is 34 pts more optimistic than history
0 of 728 2-day periods for BTC achieved this move · annual vol: 39.6%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 83% Sell 17%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 946
Largest trade $2.2K
Avg. trade size $32

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

Statistics →