Bitcoin
BTC What price will Bitcoin hit April 6-12?

Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 6-12?

Closes in 5 days
13 Apr 2026
91.4% YES ↑ 21.9% 24h change ↓ 4.2% 1h Live
YES NO 8.6%
Share:
24h Volume
$14K
Liquidity
$25K
Score
85/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
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YES % Current BTC price
Price vs Target
$68,093
BTC current →
→ target: $68,000
Exceeded by 0.1%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 43/100
Total vol. $14.1K
24h Volume $14K
Liquidity $25K
Spread 1.5%
Book depth
Open interest $212.4K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 2.1%
7d change ↑ 2.1%
Market Cap $1.36T
vs ATH -46% vs Oct 25
Historical Context
Move needed -0.1% in 5 days
Market probability 91.4%
Historical base rate 47.2%
Market is 44.2 pts more optimistic than history
342 of 725 5-day periods for BTC achieved this move · annual vol: 39.4%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 84% Sell 16%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 177
Largest trade $844
Avg. trade size $41

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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