other
Other Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?

Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

Closes in 266 days
1 Jan 2027
32.5% YES ↑ 7.5% 24h change ↑ 4.5% 1h ↓ 10.5% 7d change Live
YES NO 67.5%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$212
Score
97/100
Historical probability
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YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 24/100
Total vol. $4.0K
24h Volume
Liquidity $212
Spread 19%
Book depth
Open interest $3.4K
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About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” “Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed). Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.

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Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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