other

Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?

Closes in 11 days
1 Apr 2026
2.7% YES ↓ 3.5% 24h change ↑ 0.5% 1h ↓ 9% 7d change Live
YES NO 97.3%
Share:
24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$3K
Score
82/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 43/100
Total vol. $57.9K
24h Volume $2K
Liquidity $3K
Spread 1.1%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 4
Largest trade $2.0K
Avg. trade size $514

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 01.xyz total volume is equal to or greater than $5,000,000,000 at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be https://01.xyz/markets, using the “Total volume” value shown on the site. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

11 comments

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

Statistics →