other
Other Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Closes in 651 days
1 Jan 2028
59.5% YES ↓ 0.5% 24h change ↑ 2.5% 7d change Live
YES NO 40.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$33
Liquidity
$12K
Score
99/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 42/100
Total vol. $38.1K
24h Volume $33
Liquidity $12K
Spread 3%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 78% Sell 22%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 4
Largest trade $4
Avg. trade size $4

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

3 comments

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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