Solana
SOL Solana above ___ on April 11?

Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 11?

Closes in 4 days
11 Apr 2026
96.5% YES ↓ 0.7% 24h change ↓ 0.4% 1h Live
YES NO 3.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$6K
Liquidity
$17K
Score
82/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
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YES % Current SOL price
Price vs Target
$81.2993
SOL current →
→ target: $70
Exceeded by 13.9%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 36/100
Total vol. $5.7K
24h Volume $6K
Liquidity $17K
Spread 4.1%
Book depth
Open interest $8.8K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 2.1%
7d change ↓ 3%
Market Cap $46.6B
vs ATH -72.3% vs Jan 25
Historical Context
Move needed -13.9% in 4 days
Market probability 96.5%
Historical base rate 3.9%
Market is 92.6 pts more optimistic than history
28 of 726 4-day periods for SOL achieved this move · annual vol: 68.3%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 10
Largest trade $5.0K
Avg. trade size $522

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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