Solana
SOL Solana above ___ on April 14?

Will the price of Solana be above $40 on April 14?

Closes in 2 days
14 Apr 2026
98.4% YES ↑ 0% 24h change ↓ 0.2% 1h Live
YES NO 1.6%
Share:
24h Volume
$150
Liquidity
$8K
Score
81/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
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YES % Current SOL price
Price vs Target
$82.2561
SOL current →
→ target: $40
Exceeded by 51.4%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 37/100
Total vol. $290
24h Volume $150
Liquidity $8K
Spread 3.3%
Book depth
Open interest $13.6K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 2.8%
7d change ↑ 3.1%
Market Cap $47.3B
vs ATH -72% vs Jan 25
Historical Context
Move needed -51.4% in 2 days
Market probability 98.4%
Historical base rate 0%
Market is 98.4 pts more optimistic than history
0 of 728 2-day periods for SOL achieved this move · annual vol: 68.1%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $150
Avg. trade size $150

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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