Solana
SOL Solana above ___ on April 9?

Will the price of Solana be above $120 on April 9?

Closes in 3 days
9 Apr 2026
0.4% YES ↓ 0.1% 24h change Live
YES NO 99.6%
Share:
24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$11K
Score
80/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
Loading chart...
YES % Current SOL price
Price vs Target
$82.0960
SOL current →
→ target: $120
Still 46.2% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 44/100
Total vol. $240
24h Volume $20
Liquidity $11K
Spread 0.6%
Book depth
Open interest $12.7K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 3%
7d change ↓ 2.3%
Market Cap $47.0B
vs ATH -72% vs Jan 25
Historical Context
Move needed +46.2% in 3 days
Market probability 0.4%
Historical base rate 0%
Market is broadly aligned with history
0 of 727 3-day periods for SOL achieved this move · annual vol: 68.3%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 0% Sell 100%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $20
Avg. trade size $20

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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