Solana
SOL Solana above ___ on March 22?

Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 22?

Closes in 1 days
22 Mar 2026
2.6% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 97.4%
Share:
24h Volume
$121
Liquidity
$13K
Score
82/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
Loading chart...
YES % Current SOL price
Price vs Target
$88.5293
SOL current →
→ target: $100
Still 13% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 38/100
Total vol. $1.4K
24h Volume $121
Liquidity $13K
Spread 3.1%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0.8%
7d change ↓ 0.5%
Market Cap $50.6B
vs ATH -69.9% vs Jan 25
Historical Context
Move needed +13% in 1 days
Market probability 2.6%
Historical base rate 0.3%
Market is broadly aligned with history
2 of 729 1-day periods for SOL achieved this move · annual vol: 68.6%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $117
Avg. trade size $117

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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