other

Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?

Closes in 11 days
1 Apr 2026
0.7% YES ↓ 2% 24h change ↓ 1.5% 7d change Live
YES NO 99.3%
Share:
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$3K
Score
80/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 44/100
Total vol. $156.7K
24h Volume $5
Liquidity $3K
Spread 0.4%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 0% Sell 100%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $0
Avg. trade size $0

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total USD value of Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1 is greater than $200M. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the “Daily Buybacks” table on https://hyperscreener.asxn.xyz/revenue. The sum of the “Notional Amount” (USD) values from January 1 through March 31 will be used. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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