Bitcoin
BTC MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Closed
31 Dec 2025
0.4% YES ↓ 0.2% 24h change Live
YES NO 99.6%
Share:
24h Volume
$42K
Liquidity
$92K
Score
80/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
Loading chart...
YES % Current BTC price
Current price
$70,778
BTC →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 47/100
Total vol. $2.3M
24h Volume $42K
Liquidity $92K
Spread 0.1%
Book depth
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.5%
7d change ↓ 0.8%
Market Cap $1.42T
vs ATH -43.9% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 52% Sell 48%
Balanced
Trades (24h) 72
Largest trade $2.0K
Avg. trade size $236

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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