Bitcoin
BTC MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 102 days
1 Jul 2026
13.5% YES ↑ 0.5% 24h change ↓ 2.5% 7d change Live
YES NO 86.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$18K
Score
88/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
Loading chart...
YES % Current BTC price
Current price
$70,778
BTC →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 45/100
Total vol. $420.1K
24h Volume $3K
Liquidity $18K
Spread 1%
Book depth
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.5%
7d change ↓ 0.8%
Market Cap $1.42T
vs ATH -43.9% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 2% Sell 98%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 139
Largest trade $249
Avg. trade size $11

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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