Bitcoin

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23?

Closes in 3 days
24 Mar 2026
52% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 48%
Share:
24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$2K
Score
100/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
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YES % Current BTC price
Current price
$70,633
BTC →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 35/100
Total vol. $8.2K
24h Volume $4K
Liquidity $2K
Spread 6%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0.6%
7d change ↓ 1.8%
Market Cap $1.41T
vs ATH -44% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 78% Sell 22%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 37
Largest trade $1.1K
Avg. trade size $51

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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