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Other Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Closed
31 Dec 2025
0% YES ↓ 0.1% 24h change ↓ 0.3% 7d change Live
YES NO 100%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
Score
0/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 25/100
Total vol. $494.5K
24h Volume
Liquidity
Spread 0.2%
Book depth
View on PolyMarket ↗

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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