other

HYPE Up or Down on April 6?

Closed
6 Apr 2026
59% YES ↑ 9% 24h change ↓ 0.5% 1h Live
YES NO 41%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$220
Score
38/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 9/100
Total vol.
24h Volume
Liquidity $220
Spread 62%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for HYPE/USDT Apr 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for HYPE/USDT Apr 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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