Ethereum

Ethereum ETF Flows on March 19?

Closed
19 Mar 2026
47% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 53%
Share:
24h Volume
$140
Liquidity
$4
Score
6/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
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YES % Current ETH price
Current price
$2,141
ETH →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 2/100
Total vol. $140
24h Volume $140
Liquidity $4
Spread 94%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0.4%
7d change ↓ 0.3%
Market Cap $258.5B
vs ATH -56.8% vs Aug 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 6
Largest trade $64
Avg. trade size $23

About this market

This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Thursday, March 19, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution source: https://farside.co.uk/eth/

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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