Ethereum
ETH Ethereum above ___ on April 9?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 9?

Closes in 3 days
9 Apr 2026
9.8% YES ↑ 6.4% 24h change ↓ 0.7% 1h Live
YES NO 90.2%
Share:
24h Volume
$21
Liquidity
$12K
Score
86/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
Loading chart...
YES % Current ETH price
Price vs Target
$2,140
ETH current →
→ target: $2,300
Still 7.5% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 37/100
Total vol. $158
24h Volume $21
Liquidity $12K
Spread 3.9%
Book depth
Open interest $9.9K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 5.5%
7d change ↑ 3.3%
Market Cap $258.3B
vs ATH -56.8% vs Aug 25
Historical Context
Move needed +7.5% in 3 days
Market probability 9.8%
Historical base rate 9.8%
Market is broadly aligned with history
71 of 727 3-day periods for ETH achieved this move · annual vol: 59.4%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $20
Avg. trade size $20

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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