Ethereum
ETH Ethereum above ___ on April 15?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 15?

Closes in 3 days
15 Apr 2026
26.5% YES ↓ 5.5% 24h change ↓ 0.5% 1h Live
YES NO 73.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$721
Liquidity
$18K
Score
95/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
Loading chart...
YES % Current ETH price
Price vs Target
$2,214
ETH current →
→ target: $2,300
Still 3.9% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 36/100
Total vol. $810
24h Volume $721
Liquidity $18K
Spread 5%
Book depth
Open interest $16.3K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 1.2%
7d change ↑ 8.2%
Market Cap $267.2B
vs ATH -55.3% vs Aug 25
Historical Context
Move needed +3.9% in 3 days
Market probability 26.5%
Historical base rate 23.7%
Market is broadly aligned with history
172 of 727 3-day periods for ETH achieved this move · annual vol: 59.1%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 99% Sell 1%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 19
Largest trade $61
Avg. trade size $23

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

Statistics →