Ethereum
ETH Ethereum above ___ on March 25?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 25?

Closes in 5 days
25 Mar 2026
62.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 37.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$445
Liquidity
$18K
Score
98/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
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YES % Current ETH price
Price vs Target
$2,152
ETH current →
→ target: $2,100
Exceeded by 2.4%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 42/100
Total vol. $1.2K
24h Volume $445
Liquidity $18K
Spread 3%
Book depth —
Open interest —
View on PolyMarket ↗
Coin Metrics → #2
24h change ↓ 1%
7d change ↑ 1.1%
Market Cap $259.7B
vs ATH -56.6% vs Aug 25
Historical Context
Move needed -2.4% in 5 days
Market probability 62.5%
Historical base rate 35%
Market is 27.5 pts more optimistic than history
254 of 725 5-day periods for ETH achieved this move · annual vol: 59.5%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 79% Sell 21%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 31
Largest trade $50
Avg. trade size $7

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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YES 0.3% 11d

Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?

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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 20?

YES 0.1%

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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