Ethereum
ETH Ethereum above ___ on April 18?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 18?

Closes in 5 days
18 Apr 2026
97.6% YES ↑ 47.1% 24h change Live
YES NO 2.4%
Share:
24h Volume
$170
Liquidity
$12K
Score
82/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
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YES % Current ETH price
Price vs Target
$2,199
ETH current →
→ target: $1,800
Exceeded by 18.1%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 40/100
Total vol. $170
24h Volume $170
Liquidity $12K
Spread 2.2%
Book depth
Open interest $851
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 4.2%
7d change ↑ 6.5%
Market Cap $265.4B
vs ATH -55.6% vs Aug 25
Historical Context
Move needed -18.1% in 5 days
Market probability 97.6%
Historical base rate 1.5%
Market is 96.1 pts more optimistic than history
11 of 725 5-day periods for ETH achieved this move · annual vol: 59.1%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 6
Largest trade $28
Avg. trade size $24

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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