Ethereum

Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Closed
20 Mar 2026
92% YES ↑ 0% 24h change
YES NO 8%
Share:
24h Volume
$9K
Liquidity
$6K
Score
85/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
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YES % Current ETH price
Current price
$2,123
ETH →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 42/100
Total vol. $8.3K
24h Volume $9K
Liquidity $6K
Spread 2%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0.3%
7d change ↑ 0.8%
Market Cap $256.2B
vs ATH -57.1% vs Aug 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 80% Sell 20%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 965
Largest trade $269
Avg. trade size $12

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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