Dogecoin

Dogecoin Up or Down on April 5?

Closed
5 Apr 2026
0.1% YES ↓ 56% 24h change Live
YES NO 99.9%
Share:
24h Volume
$266
Liquidity
$12K
Score
80/100
Historical probability + Current DOGE price
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YES % Current DOGE price
Current price
$0.0905
DOGE →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 45/100
Total vol. $266
24h Volume $266
Liquidity $12K
Spread 0.1%
Book depth
Open interest $266
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 1.9%
7d change ↑ 0.3%
Market Cap $15.3B
vs ATH -87.7% vs May 21
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 9
Largest trade $104
Avg. trade size $29

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Apr 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Apr 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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