Bitcoin
BTC Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 287 days
1 Jan 2027
15% YES ↓ 1.5% 24h change ↓ 2.5% 7d change Live
YES NO 85%
Share:
24h Volume
$11K
Liquidity
$43K
Score
89/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
Loading chart...
YES % Current BTC price
Current price
$70,778
BTC →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 43/100
Total vol. $603.0K
24h Volume $11K
Liquidity $43K
Spread 2%
Book depth
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.5%
7d change ↓ 0.8%
Market Cap $1.42T
vs ATH -43.9% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 24% Sell 76%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 46
Largest trade $1.4K
Avg. trade size $53

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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