BTC
Number of Bitcoin green hourly candles on March 23?
12 green Bitcoin hourly candles on March 23?
About this market
This market will resolve to the number of green Bitcoin hourly candles on March 23 (ET). An hourly candle is considered green if the Close price is strictly above the Open price. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart set to 1H: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If it becomes impossible for a given outcome to be correct, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
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Understanding This Market
The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.
The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.
The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.
Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap
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